Premier League Matchday 15 Odds, Picks & Prediction (2023)

The English Premier League resumes with some midweek action! Matchday 15 features games running from Tuesday through Thursday.

Below, I’ve listed one game from each day where I have a best bet. Let’s dive into where I’m laying my money in the PL this week!

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Premier League Matchday 15 Preview & Best Bets (2023)

Odds courtesy of DraftKings Sportsbook | 2023 Soccer Betting Record: 35-34 (-4.80 units)

Luton Town (+1300) vs. Arsenal (-475), DRAW (+600) | 2.5 (-155/+125)

The Tuesday nightcap features a contest between 17th-place Luton Town (nine points) and top-ranked Arsenal (33 points). Kickoff is scheduled for 3:15 p.m. ET from Kenilworth Road in Luton. 

The Gunners have been on fire recently, going 5-0-0 in their last five matches. During the stretch, they’ve managed to out-score the opposition 14-3, registering two clean sheets in the process. The recent defensive showcase has seen Arsenal move to first in goals against this term (11). They’re also first in expected goals against (xGA) at 11.0. 

Since the defense has been so spectacular, I think there’s a solid chance that Mikel Arteta’s men cruise to a multi-goal win on the road. I mean, their task is taking on a Luton Town side that’s just 19th in scoring this season (13 goals). There also isn’t much of a home-pitch advantage for the Hatters as they’re just 1-2-3 at home this season. When the dust settles, I think Arsenal will win this game in blowout fashion. 

Bet: Arsenal -2.0 (+105)

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Aston Villa (+330) vs. Manchester City (-135), DRAW (+320) | 3.5 (+130/-160)

We have a top-four clash on Wednesday as Aston Villa gears up to host defending champion Manchester City. City has dropped to third (30 points) after three straight draws, while Aston Villa is fourth (29 points), going 2-1-0 in their last three matches. This one is scheduled for 3:15 p.m. ET from Villa Park in Birmingham, England. 

Stepping in front of Pep Guardiola and his Citizens hasn’t been a very profitable venture in recent history. However, I think this is a great chance to fade City. They haven’t been in excellent form recently, securing just three straight draws in their last three matches. The defense is a tad worrisome, considering they’ve allowed 10 goals across their last four competitions in the PL and Champions League. 

Meanwhile, Aston Villa has been on a tear this season. Sure, they only managed a draw on the road against Bournemouth this past weekend, but the home form excites me about the Villans. They’re still a perfect 6-0-0 on their own pitch, where they’ve out-scored opponents 23-5. They currently trail only City (36 goals) in scoring this campaign with 33 goals. This is a great spot for Aston Villa, and I expect Unai Emery’s men to come away with at least one point. 

Bet: Double Chance: Aston Villa or Tie (+115)

Tottenham (-125) vs. West Ham (+300), DRAW (+330) | 3.5 (+120/-145)

Matchday 15 wraps up on Thursday as Tottenham hosts West Ham. The Spurs are currently in fifth place (27 points), while the Hammers reside in ninth place (21). Kickoff is scheduled for 3:15 p.m. ET from Tottenham Hotspur Stadium in London, England.

Tottenham hasn’t been sharp recently, going just 0-1-3 in their last four matches. However, factor in a 3-3 road draw against Manchester City, and that’s a favorable result for Ange Postecoglou’s crew. I think the Spurs will get back in the win column on Thursday as they return to their home ground.

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They’ll have a moderate challenge against a West Ham side that’s just 2-2-3 in their last seven PL matches. They’ve conceded in every one of those matches, allowing 14 goals over the seven-game sample (2.0 GAA). The Irons are also ranked 15th in xGA, where the analytics say that they should’ve allowed 24.4 goals this season. That’s not a great recipe against this potent Tottenham offense. While the results haven’t been there recently, they’re still ranked seventh in scoring this season with 28 goals. All things considered, I don’t mind laying the juice with Tottenham to collect the three points.

Bet: Tottenham Moneyline (-125)

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Trenton Pruitt